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Climate modelling: the value of projections

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9:04 pm
March 10, 2010


audaye

Member

posts 10

Well that was fascinating, i hope that we managed to cover all the issues that we set out to. Balancing difficult and complex science with current business values and how tat colours the adaptation process is difficult and pretty hard on live radio too. I hope it made sense.

The key things for me in the discussion were:

The kinds of risks that business can adapt to and those that they can't because it's beyond the scope. It made me think about how climate-robust business and institutions can really be and how much taht might depend on their ability to plan and be flexible.

The models themselves are almost overwhelimingly complex, as they have to incorporate the very complex nature of weather elements – clouds being a great example: having effects on the lower atmosphere (troposphere) by keeping heat in and keeping heat out at the same time.

That the projections can help us understand the future of our regional climate and that can mean a clearer vision of the resources that will be available. I wasn't quite sure about the way current standard business thinking frames the projections as opportunities and threats. It seems to me this is a result of an older understanding of economy detached from environment, but i could just be getting bogged down in the business connotations of 'opportunities and threats' and as such the memes taht carry the connotations may well change accordingly.

Finally and most usefully, how from observation to model and projection to adaptation and planning not only helps to prepare for climatic, ecological and weather catastrophes,  but can ameliorates the fear created by the unexpected – when we can expect it – and ignorance of  how to change damaging habits, like fossil fuel addiction.

6:51 pm
March 10, 2010


audaye

Member

posts 10

Please post questions and disscussion points about the show here.

Go back to the show page.



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